Hydrological Risks (a.a. 2019/20)

Programma

OBJECTIVES
The objective of the course is to introduce students to the main hydrological hazards (fluvial flood, flash flood, excess of rainfall and drought) and the consequent risks. The course aims at providing to the students an overview of the main approaches to assess the hydrological risk and of the main modelling techniques to quantify it.

DESCRIPTION
1. Introduction to hydrology and flood risk, 2. The main processes of the hydrological cycle, 3. Modelling approaches to compute the discharge in a river, 4. Definition of flood, 5. Statistical methods to describe the extreme events, 6. The Intense-Duration-Frequency curve, 7. The Flood Frequency Curve, 8. Anatomy of a Flood Risk Model, 9. Models for hazard estimation, 10. 1D and 2D hydraulic models, 11. Simplified geomorphological models, 12. The role of the hydraulic defenses, 13. Models for the vulnerability estimation, 14. Models for the exposure, 15. Generation of flood events, 16. Flood risk analysis, 17 Definition of drought, 18. Main modelling approach to assess the drought risk.
During the course there will be presentations on specific applications: the estimation of the defence failure effects, the downscaling of the exposure model, the computation of building damages due to flood, models for drought estimation over large areas, simple tools for the estimation of the extreme events distribution.

Svolgimento

Date: 01/10/2019 - 24/10/2019
Tuesday-Wednesday-Thursday 11-13 and 15-17

 

Date	From	To	Type	Topic
01/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Definition of risk
01/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Lecture	Definition of hydrological phenomena
02/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Concepts of hydrology
02/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Lecture	Models to compute the discharge
03/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Models to compute the flood
03/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Lecture	Statistical method to estimate the peak of the discharge
08/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Physically-based models to compute the flood hydrograph
08/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Montecarlo simulations
09/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Definition of drought
09/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Description of the drought indexes
10/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Flood damage models
10/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Drought damage models
15/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	How to estimate the exposure values
15/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Combining together all the risk components
16/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	Anatomy of catastrophe models
16/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	How to compute the cost benefit ration
17/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Lecture	How to reduce the risk or transfer the risk
17/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Exercise on R to compute peak of discharge
22/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Tutorial	Exercise on R to compute the flood volume
22/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Exercise on QGIS to map the flood footprint and exposure
23/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Tutorial	Exercise on the INSYDE mode to compute the damage
23/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Exercise on a full risk model
24/10/2019	11:00	13:00	Tutorial	Exercise on a cost/benefit analysis
24/10/2019	15:00	17:00	Tutorial	Exercise on a parametric model for insurance

Bibliografia

• Eslamian, Saeid. Handbook of Engineering Hydrology, Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group, 2014
• Yacov Haimes, Risk Modelling, Assessment and Management, Wiley, 2016
• Zakai Sen, D. Chase, D. Savic, W. Grayman, S. Beckwith, and E. Koelle (2003). Apply Drought Modelling, Prediction and Mitigation. Elsevier, 2015
• Kirsten Mitchell-Wallace, Matthew Jones, John Hillier, Matthew Foote, Natural Catastrophe Risk Management and Modelling: A Practitioner's Guide, Wiley, 2017
• J.C. Gaillard, Natural Hazards and Disasters, Wiley, 2017

Mario Martina

Professore Associato in Idrologia