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Lecturers: Prof. P. Bazzurro, Prof. D. Vamvatsikos, Dr. V. Silva

Seismic Risk (a.a. 2019/20)

Programma

This course comprises three distincts but connected parts.
This course will start with a very succinct overview of the basics of probability and statistics that are commonly used in the field of hazard and risk assessment. The knowledge of the subject is a pre-requisite of the course. After this preamble, in the first part we will move on to describe the basics of risk assessment and loss estimation for assets subject to natural events such as earthquakes and tropical cyclones. In this part we will also review the fundamentals of seismic hazard analysis and we will cover both probabilistic and deterministic approaches. Then we will deal with the theory behind catastrophe risk modeling of portfolios of structures mostly for earthquakes but will briefly discuss tropical cyclones as well. The applications discussed are typical of those found in the insurance/reinsurance industry, capital markets, and sovereign disaster risk financing. Therefore, some fundamentals of insurance/reinsurance will also be provided. Then we will introduce the concepts of seismic risk for single structures and we will compare and contrast them with the approach for portfolio of assets. Time permitting, we will discuss the risk assessment of networks and of nuclear power plants. These cases have special aspects that are not found in the previous applications discussed during the course.
The second part will focus on the application of the portfolio seismic risk assessment theory to real case studies. In this part you will be using models already built and the emphasis will be in learning how to compute and interpret correctly their results.
Finally the third and last part of the course will tackle in detail the state-of-the art approach to assess seismic risk of single buildings for both collapse and loss estimation purposes. The techniques that you will learn here are applicable both to the design of new buildings and to the assessment of existing ones.

Svolgimento

Week

Date

Classroom

Lecture hours

From__ To__

Tutorial hours

From__ To__

Subject

Tot h

1

23/09/2019

 

 

 

 

 

24/09/2019

 

 

 

 

 

25/09/2019

 

 

 

 

 

26/09/2019

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

4

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

27/09/2019

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

4

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

2

30/09/2019

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

4

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

01/10/2019

Aula 1-17 - IUSS

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

4

Aula 1-17 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

02/10/2019

Aula 1-17 - IUSS

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

4

Aula 1-17 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

03/10/2019

TBD

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

4

Aula 1-17 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

04/10/2019

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

10.00-12.00

 

Risk Assessment: theory

2

3

07/10/2019

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

10.30-12.30

 

Portfolio earthquake risk assessment

4

Aula 1-15 - IUSS

14.00-16.00

08/10/2019

Aula 1-17 - IUSS

14.30-17.30

 

Portfolio earthquake risk assessment

3

09/10/2019

Sala del Camino

9.30-12.30

 

Portfolio earthquake risk assessment

5

TBD

 

14.30-16.30

10/10/2019

 

 

 

 

 

11/10/2019

 

 

 

 

 

4

14/10/2019

Aula 1-15, IUSS

10.30-12.30

 

Single building earthquake risk assessment

6

Aula 1-15, IUSS

14.00-16.00

 

Aula 1-15, IUSS

 

16.00-18.00

15/10/2019

TBD

10.30-12.30

 

 

Single building earthquake risk assessment

 

6

Aula 1-17, IUSS

14.00-16.00

 

Aula 1-17, IUSS

 

16.00-18.00

16/10/2019

Aula 1-17, IUSS

10.30-12.30

 

 

Single building earthquake risk assessment

 

6

Aula 1-17, IUSS

14.00-16.00

 

TBD

 

16.00-18.00

17/10/2019

TBD

10.30-12.30

 

 

Single building earthquake risk assessment

 

6

Sala del Camino

14.00-16.00

 

Sala del Camino

 

16.00-18.00

18/10/2019

Aula 1-15

10.30-12.30

 

 

 

5

21/10/2019

Aula 1-17, IUSS

9.00-11.30

 

Final Exam

6

Paolo Bazzurro

Professore Ordinario di Tecnica delle costruzioni

Ciclo :  XXXIII  XXXIV  XXXV 

Tipologia corso : Caratterizzante

Curriculum : Ingegneria Sismica e Sismologia

Periodo: Semestre I

Anno accademico: 2019-2020