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From global to convection-permitting models a.y. 2020/21


The course will introduce the climate models spanning from global to high resolution, briefly explaining how they work, and presenting advantages and disadvantages of different resolutions. In particular, we will focus on the added values and limitations of convection-permitting models especially in the context of impact studies. Evaluation methods for climate studies will be presented over the course. At the end of the course, the students will be familiar with climate models, will know which to use depending on their objectives, and will be able to apply some climate analysis to a set of model data.


March 15th, 2021, 10:30 - 12:30
March 16th 2021, 10:30 - 12:30
March 17th 2021, 10:30 - 12:30
March 18th 2021, 10:30 - 12:30
March 19th, 2021, 10:30 – 12:30


  • Chan SC, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, et al (2014) Projected increases in summer and winter UK sub-daily precipitation extremes from high-resolution regional climate models. Environ Res Lett. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/084019
  • Coppola E, Sobolowski S, Pichelli E, et al (2018) A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean. Clim Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8
  • Dale M, Luck B, Fowler HJ, et al (2017) New climate change rainfall estimates for sustainable drainage. Proc Inst Civ Eng - Eng Sustain 170:214–224. doi: 10.1680/jensu.15.00030
  • Fosser G, Kendon EJ, Chan S, et al (2020a) Optimal configuration and resolution for the first convection‐permitting ensemble of climate projections over the United Kingdom. Int J Climatol 40:3585–3606. doi: 10.1002/joc.6415
  • Fosser G, Kendon EJ, Stephenson D, Tucker S (2020b) Convection‐Permitting Models Offer Promise of More Certain Extreme Rainfall Projections. Geophys Res Lett 47:0–2. doi: 10.1029/2020GL088151
  • Kendon EJ, Ban N, Roberts NMNM, et al (2017) Do convection-permitting regional climate models improve projections of future precipitation change? Bull Am Meteorol Soc 98:79–93. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-0004.1
  • Kendon EJ, Roberts NM, Fowler HJ, et al (2014) Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model. Nat Clim Chang 4:570–576. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2258
  • Prein AF, Langhans W, Fosser G, et al (2015) A review on regional convection‐permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges. Rev Geophys 53:323–361. doi: 10.1002/2014RG000475
  • Prein AF, Rasmussen RM, Ikeda K, et al (2017) The future intensification of hourly precipitation extremes. Nat Clim Chang 7:48–52. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3168

Giorgia Fosser



Tipologia corso : Caratterizzante

Curriculum : Rischi Idrometeorologici, Geologici, Chimici ed Ambientali

Periodo: Semestre II

Anno accademico: 2020-2021

Luogo : on line

Durata : 10 hours