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Probabilità e Statistica. Perché preoccuparsene?

Programma

In this course we will make an attempt to cover some aspects of probability and statistics that relate to practical matters keeping dice tossing and card games to a bare minimum. Less emphasis will be given to derivations and more to concepts. We will start by discussing about why probability and statistics are related but are not the same. Then we will touch upon different topics where probability and statistics are essential: decision analysis, building codes, safety of structures, risk analysis, occurrence of earthquakes, hurricanes and other natural events. We will discuss these topics using real examples, such as the probability of the &ldquoBig One&rdquo occurring in the San Francisco Bay Area, whether DNA test is really as conclusive as it is thought to be, or whether do freak waves exist. Time permitting we will also talk about the tale of Yucca Mountain. Does it make sense to dump there a lot of radioactive material?
The course will be organized in nine two- and two three-hour long lectures. There will be homework assigned and a final exam that will be two-hour long. The final grade will be based 30% on homework and 70% on the final written exam. The course will be taught in Italian but a scholastic knowledge of the English language is highly desirable if not necessary.

 

Svolgimento

Il corso si svolgerà dal 5 al 21 marzo 2013 nell&rsquoAula 1-17 di Palazzo del Broletto (Piazza della Vittoria, 15) le lezioni di venerdì 8 e 15 marzo si terranno nell&rsquoAula 1-14.
 

Bibliografia

- Ang, A. H. and Tang, W. H. (2007). &ldquoProbability Concepts In Engineering: Emphasis On Applications In Civil & Environmental Engineering,&rdquo Wiley.

- Benjamin, J. R. and C. A. Cornell (1970). Probability, Statistics, and Decision for Civil Engineers. New York, McGraw-Hill.

- Kutner M.H., Nachtsheim C., and Neter J., 2004. Applied linear regression models, McGraw-Hill, 1396 p.

-Ross, S. M. (2004). Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists. Amsterdam, Elsevier Academic Press.
 

Esame

- venerdì 5 aprile, ore 9-11, Aula 1-15

Ambito : Scienze e Tecnologie

Semestre: Semestre II

Anno accademico: 2012-2013