Aggregatore Risorse
Sources of uncertainty in climate change studies and projections (a.a. 2019/20)
Programma
Il modulo consiste in 10 lezioni, divise in due sezioni di 10 ore ciascuna, da tenersi in inglese o in italiano a seconda della presenza o meno di studenti stranieri. Il materiale didattico (presentazioni Powerpoint, articoli) sara’ in lingua inglese. Ogni lezione consiste in un seminario seguito da una sessione di domande/risposte e possibili approfondimenti, in base agli interessi degli studenti.
Section 1 (18-21 Nov. 2019): Analysis and interpretation of the observed record
- Introduction to sources of uncertainties in climate change studies
- The historical climate record: uncertainties in multi-decadal datasets of observed data and re-analyses
- Natural climate variability at inter-annual and interdecadal time scales
- Relationship between natural climate variability and anthropogenic climate change: the attribution problem
Section 2 (18-21 Feb. 2020): Modelling climate change and its uncertainties
- Simulating climate with numerical models: initialisation issues, systematic errors, climate drift
- Simulations of current and future climate: historical runs and climate projections
- Climate predictions: from seasonal to decadal time scales.
- Simulating climate variability with models of low and intermediate complexity.
Svolgimento
Date | Hours
| Subject | Classroom | Time |
18/02/2020 | 1 | Simulating climate with numerical models: initialisation issues, systematic errors, climate drift | IUSS 1-17 |
10.00-11.00 |
19/02/2020 | 3 | Simulations of current and future climate: historical runs and climate projections | IUSS Sala Riunioni |
15.00-18.00 |
20/02/2020 | 3 | Climate predictions: from seasonal to decadal time scales | IUSS 1-17 |
15.30-18.30 |
21/02/2020 | 3 | Simulating climate variability with models of low and intermediate complexity | IUSS 1-15 |
09.00-12.00 |
Bibliografia
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2013: Working Group I contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report, Technical Summary.
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_TS_FINAL.pdf
Additional references will be provided during the course.
Ciclo : XXXIII, XXXIV, XXXV
Tipologia corso : Caratterizzante
Curriculum : Rischi Idrometeorologici, Geologici, Chimici ed Ambientali
Periodo: Semestre II
Anno accademico: 2019-2020