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Statistica e Probabilità. Perché preoccuparsene?


In this course we will make an attempt to cover some aspects of probability and statistics that relate to practical matters keeping dice tossing and card games to a bare minimum. Less emphasis will be given to derivations and more to concepts. We will start by discussing about why probability and statistics are related but are not the same. Then we will touch upon different topics where probability and statistics are essential: decision analysis, building codes, safety of structures, risk analysis, occurrence of earthquakes, hurricanes and other natural events. We will discuss these topics using real examples, such as the probability of the “Big One” occurring in the San Francisco Bay Area, whether DNA test is really as conclusive as it is thought to be, or whether do freak waves exist. Time permitting we will also talk about the tale of Yucca Mountain. Does it make sense to dump there a lot of radioactive material? The course will be organized in nine two- and two three-hour long lectures. There will be homework assigned and a final exam that will be two-hour long. The final grade will be based 30% on homework and 70% on the final written exam.

The course will be taught in Italian but a scholastic knowledge of the English language is highly desirable if not necessary.


Il corso si svolgerà dal 2  al 8 aprile  2015 e si terrà presso le Aule della Sede dello IUSS (Palazzo del Broletto, Piazza della Vittoria, 15).


Le indicazioni bibliografiche saranno date nel corso delle lezioni.

Ambito : Scienze e Tecnologie

Semestre: Semestre II

Anno accademico: 2014-2015