Project name: Severe Uncertainty: Decisions, Evidence and Probability

Project acronym: DeEP 

Principal Investigator: Dott. Luca Zanetti

Description: This project aims to make concrete progress in understanding severe uncertainty by integrating philosophy and engineering. This approach is revolutionary because it can not only inform but also reshape long-standing and current issues in philosophy of science, epistemology, and decision theory, as they relate to mathematical modeling, scientific disagreement, and the use of experts in public decision-making.

The main objectives of this project are:

1. To advance our understanding of severe uncertainty in forecasting rare and extreme events.

2. To contribute to the formulation of strategies for addressing severe uncertainty in science-based policy, including the use of model ensembles to quantify natural hazards.

3. To promote a "human-scale modeling" approach to risk analysis that integrates philosophical expertise into the evaluation of scientific models.

Project starting date: 01/10/2025

Project end date: 30/09/2028

Funding Institution: MUR - Ministero dell’Università e della Ricerca

FIS-2023-01696

Starting Grant - 1.323.454,37

Website: https://lucazanetti91-nhigo.wordpress.com/