2nd IUSS Pavia - IMT Lucca Joint Workshop Philosophy of Science: Risk, Uncertainty, Forecasting

2nd IUSS Pavia - IMT Lucca Joint Workshop Philosophy of Science: Risk, Uncertainty, Forecasting

On November 3–4, 2026, the IUSS Pavia School for Advanced Studies will host the second joint workshop with the IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, titled Philosophy of Science: Risk, Uncertainty, Forecasting. The event will take place at Palazzo del Broletto, Piazza della Vittoria 15, Pavia, and will build on the scientific collaboration launched at the first meeting in Lucca in April 2026.

PROGRAMME

November 3

12:00–14:00 — Lunch

First Session — Room 1.17, first floor

14:00–14:40 — Piero Avitabile (IMT Lucca)
Higher-Order Evidence in Scientific Argumentation

14:40–15:20 — Martina Calderisi, Davide Coraci and Luca Zanetti (IUSS Pavia)
Trust, truthlikeness, and the accuracy-informativeness trade-off

15:20–15:40 — Coffee break

15:40–16:20 — Alessandro Demichelis (IMT Lucca)
Recasting the story of Semmelweiss

16:20–17:00 — Pavel Janda (IUSS Pavia)
Fat and Dismal

17:00–17:40 — Margherita Bianchetti (IMT Lucca)
Repertoires and Bayesian Cognitive Science

20:00 — Social dinner

November 4

Second Session — Meeting Room, second floor

10:00–10:40 — Francesco Di Betta (IUSS Pavia) and Matteo Michelini (CNR Genova)
Peer Disagreement and the Structure of Expertise

10:40–11:20 — Gustavo Cevolani (IMT Lucca)
Reading the Past: Bayesian Inference in Textual Criticism

11:20–11:40 — Coffee break

11:40–12:20 — Matteo De Benedetto (IMT Lucca)
Waismann’s patchwork-contextualism about knowledge

12:20–13:00 — Michael Morreau (UiT Norway)
Voting vs. discussing in search of the truth: a lesson from avalanche-danger forecasting in Switzerland

13:00 — Lunch

Information and registration: davide.coraci@iusspavia.it, luca.zanetti@iusspavia.it


Funding: FIS-2023-01696 Project – Severe Uncertainty: Decisions, Evidence and Probability (DeEP) — PI: Luca Zanetti — CUP: I53C25000600001

The poster is attached.